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Passengers Evacuation Simulation in a Cruise Ship due to Tsunami Attack as Port Safety Management Consideration

机译：作为港口安全管理考虑因素的海啸袭击游轮上的乘客疏散模拟

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摘要

Tsunami is not only causing the raise of free sea surface but also strong horizontal water movement in a bay. Thus, an appropriate countermeasure is required for a passenger ship because the ship may be forced by tsunami to move unexpectedly. In this case, tsunami acts as a variable to limit evacuation time of passengers from a ship to shelter areas. For instance it is estimated that the time to tsunami arrival at Tempozan Passenger Terminal of Osaka Pott, that is available time for passengers to evacuate is around 1 hours and 40 minutes (6000 sec). Passengers evacuation, which is caused by tsunami attacks has different problems since passengers not only have to evacuate from a ship, but also have to run to safe areas where they do not receive the impact of tsunami, such as in high land area. This paper describes the use of Discrete Event Simulation (DES) of passengers evacuation process due to tsunami attack considering several scenarios, such as in the morning, day and night scenario considering MSC.1/Circ.1033; therefore, it will be known that how many people are safe in the case of such incident. The outputs of analysis are prediction of time evacuation; as a result, they can be used as consideration of port safety management and evacuation procedure in case of tsunami disaster.
机译：海啸不仅导致海平面上升，而且海湾中强烈的水平水运动。因此，客船需要采取适当的对策，因为海啸可能迫使该船意外移动。在这种情况下，海啸作为变量来限制乘客从船上到避难所的疏散时间。例如，据估计，海啸到达大阪坡天宝山客运站的时间，即可供乘客撤离的可用时间约为1小时40分钟（6000秒）。由海啸袭击造成的乘客疏散具有不同的问题，因为乘客不仅必须从船上撤离，而且还必须奔向不受海啸影响的安全区域，例如高地地区。本文描述了考虑多种情​​况的海啸袭击造成的乘客疏散过程的离散事件模拟（DES）的使用，例如考虑MSC.1 / Circ.1033的上午，白天和夜晚情况；因此，将知道在这种情况下有多少人是安全的。分析的输出是时间疏散的预测；因此，它们可以用作海啸灾难时港口安全管理和疏散程序的考虑因素。

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