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首页> 外文期刊>Regional Environmental Change >New Zealand kiwifruit growers' vulnerability to climate and other stressors
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New Zealand kiwifruit growers' vulnerability to climate and other stressors

机译：新西兰猕猴桃种植者易受气候和其他压力因素的影响

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Commercial cultivation of kiwifruit in New Zealand is concentrated in a relatively small area of the North Island. Cultivation is economically significant and growing quickly. However, current understanding of vulnerability for this, and other primary sector activities in New Zealand, makes almost exclusive use of linear outcome-oriented frameworks. Drawing on in-depth, semi-structured interviews with kiwifruit growers and orchard managers, workshops and analysis of secondary data, a "bottom-up" contextual assessment of vulnerability was developed and empirically applied. The findings suggest that climate and markets are the main sources of exposure for growers, with sensitivity moderated by location. Growers employ mostly short-term, reactive adaptive strategies to manage climate exposure and sensitivity, but have less capacity to respond to market-related stressors. Warmer and drier conditions are likely to have adverse effects for kiwifruit production and compound existing vulnerabilities. An ageing population and other processes of rural change may also constrain future adaptation. In order to realise opportunities and minimise losses, longer-term strategic responses are required. The paper demonstrates the need to move beyond outcome-oriented and model-based vulnerability assessments in New Zealand, to consider the broad range of the factors that contribute to vulnerability in the nation's agricultural sectors. It provides a basis for further consideration of multiple exogenous impacts in the industry and confirms the critical importance of qualitatively vulnerability assessments to determine spatially specific outcomes.
机译：新西兰的奇异果商业化种植集中在北岛的一个相对较小的地区。耕种具有重要的经济意义，并且发展迅速。但是，目前对这种情况以及新西兰其他主要部门活动的脆弱性的理解几乎完全使用了线性的，注重结果的框架。在对猕猴桃种植者和果园经理进行深入，半结构化的访谈，讲习班和二次数据分析的基础上，开发了“自下而上”的脆弱性上下文评估方法，并在经验上进行了应用。研究结果表明，气候和市场是种植者接触食物的主要来源，其敏感性由地理位置决定。种植者大多采用短期的，被动的适应性策略来管理气候暴露和敏感性，但对与市场相关的压力源做出反应的能力却较弱。较干燥的条件可能会对猕猴桃的生产产生不利影响，并加剧现有的脆弱性。人口老龄化和其他农村变革进程也可能限制未来的适应。为了实现机会并最大程度地减少损失，需要长期的战略对策。本文表明，有必要超越新西兰以结果为导向和基于模型的脆弱性评估的范围，而是要考虑导致该国农业部门脆弱性的各种因素。它为进一步考虑该行业中的多种外来影响提供了基础，并确认了定性脆弱性评估对于确定特定于空间的结果的至关重要性。

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