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Assessing the impact of increased legume production in Europe on global agricultural emissions

机译:评估豆类生产增加对欧洲的影响全球农业排放量

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The increased use of legumes is viewed as a promising option to mitigate climate change, as they are a source of proteins and provide nitrogen to the soil. In this paper, we evaluate a strategy for the increased use of legumes in Europe until 2050 by integrating a large array of food and natural system processes into a consistent modeling framework. Three contrasting scenarios are studied: a supply-side scenario entailing a change in the animal feed mix, a demand-side scenario entailing a shift in human diet, and a combination of the shift in human diet with a reforestation in Europe. We find that mitigated emissions are much higher in the two diet shift scenarios (-231 and -259 MtCO(2eq), respectively) than in the supply-side scenario (-10 MtCO(2eq)). Therefore, the main environmental benefit of legumes is to provide proteins as a substitute for animal products rather than enabling a lower consumption of synthetic fertilizer through increased leguminous nitrogen fixation. Diet shift scenarios require a lower use of lands that can then be used to either reduce intensification or reforest. In the former case, the reduction in emissions concerns almost exclusively non-CO2 emissions, mainly through enteric fermentation and manure management, and occurs largely outside Europe. In the latter case, the livestock sector still represents a substantial share of the emission reduction but is outpaced by CO2 emissions through carbon sequestration. An increase in legume production substantially reduces greenhouse gas emissions from the AFOLU sector only when combined with a change in diet, and its combination with reforestation allows the emission reduction to be relocated to Europe through carbon sequestration. Our study concludes that an increase in legume production accompanied by appropriate measures on both the supply and demand side can be effective in reducing emissions. These results can be used to design the European Commission's "Farm to Fork" strategy for sustainable food and to support climate-friendly farming practices of the post-2020 European common agricultural policy.
机译:随着蛋白质的源泉,增加了豆类的使用增加的使用,以减轻气候变化,因为它们是蛋白质的来源,并为土壤提供氮。在本文中,我们通过将大量食品和自然系统流程集成到一致的建模框架中,评估欧洲植物在2050年增加使用的策略。研究了三种对比情景:一种供应侧情景,需要在动物饲料混合中进行变化,需要在人类饮食中转变的需求侧情景,以及在欧洲重新造林的人类饮食的转变组合。我们发现,两种饮食换档场景(分别为-231和-259 MTCO(2EQ)分别比供应侧方案(-10 MTCO(2EQ))中的减速排放量高得多。因此,豆类的主要环境效益是提供蛋白质作为动物产品的替代品,而不是通过增加豆类氮固定来实现合成肥的较低。饮食换档方案需要较低使用的土地,然后可以用于减少强化或再造林。在前一种情况下,排放的减少几乎完全是非二氧化碳排放,主要是通过肠道发酵和粪便管理,并主要发生在欧洲以外。在后一种情况下,牲畜扇区仍然代表排放减少的大量份额,但通过碳封存超出二氧化碳排放。豆类产量的增加显着减少了AFOLU扇区的温室气体排放,只有在与饮食的变化相结合时,它与重新造林的结合允许减少减排通过碳封存将减排迁移到欧洲。我们的研究得出结论,豆类生产的增加伴随着供应和需求方面的适当措施,可以有效地减少排放。这些结果可用于设计欧盟委员会的“农场为叉子”可持续食品战略,并支持2020年后欧洲普通农业政策的气候友好的农业实践。

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