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Geothermal energy utilization trends from a technological paradigm perspective

机译：从技术范式角度看地热能利用趋势

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摘要

The use of geothermal energy and its associated technologies has been increasing worldwide. However, there has been little paradigmatic research conducted in this area. This paper proposes a systematic methodology to research the development trends for the sustainable development of geothermal energy. A novel data analysis system was created to research the geothermal energy utilization trends, and a technological paradigm theory was adopted to explain the technological changes. A diffusion velocity model was used to simulate and forecast the geothermal power generation development in the diffusion phase. Simulation results showed that the development of installed capacity for geothermal generation had a strong inertia force along with the S-curve. Power generation from geothermal power sources reached a peak in 2008 and is estimated to be saturated by 2030. Geothermal energy technologies in hybrid power systems based on other renewable energy sources look to be more promising in the future.
机译：在世界范围内，地热能及其相关技术的使用一直在增加。但是，在这一领域几乎没有进行范式研究。本文提出了一种系统的方法论来研究地热能源可持续发展的发展趋势。建立了一个新颖的数据分析系统来研究地热能利用的趋势，并采用技术范式理论来解释技术变化。扩散速度模型用于模拟和预测扩散阶段地热发电的发展。仿真结果表明，地热发电装机容量的发展具有较强的惯性力和S曲线。地热动力源的发电量在2008年达到顶峰，预计到2030年将达到饱和。未来，基于其他可再生能源的混合动力系统中的地热能技术将变得更加有前途。

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  • 来源
    《Renewable energy》 |2015年第5期|430-441|共12页
  • 作者

    Bobo Zheng; Jiuping Xu; Ting Ni; Meihui Li;

  • 作者单位

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China,Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China,Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China,Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China,Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Geothermal energy utilization; Technological paradigm; Literature mining; Electricity generation;

    机译：地热能利用;技术范式;文献挖掘;发电;

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