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Hydropower development trends from a technological paradigm perspective

机译：从技术范式角度看水电发展趋势

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摘要

Hydropower has long been considered the backbone of the power generation sector in low-carbon and sustainable energy systems. Yet, as reliance on hydropower has been generally declining, the world is awakening to the need to fundamentally rethink the way hydropower is developed and managed. The paper proposes a systematic methodology to research the development trends and find a more sustainable hydropower path. Literature mining using the data analysis system and the technological paradigm theory were adopted to conduct the research. The keyword visualization results were found to meet the laws for the three phases of the technological paradigm. Specific key areas, such as small hydropower plants, hybrid power systems, and hydropower from seawater were identified as past, present and near future trajectories. To further accelerate hydropower development, specific subsidies and incentives need to be provided in areas such as capital costs and technological support. The study paves the way for a soft path solution which complements the hard path in hydropower field.
机译：长期以来，水电一直被认为是低碳和可持续能源系统中发电部门的骨干力量。但是，由于对水电的依赖程度总体上在下降，全世界都在唤醒对从根本上重新思考水电开发和管理方式的需求。本文提出了一种系统的方法论，以研究发展趋势并找到一条更可持续的水电道路。运用数据分析系统和技术范式理论进行文献挖掘。发现关键字可视化结果符合技术范式三个阶段的定律。特定的关键领域，例如小型水力发电厂，混合动力系统和海水水电被确定为过去，现在和不久的将来。为了进一步加速水电开发，需要在资本成本和技术支持等领域提供具体的补贴和激励措施。该研究为软路径解决方案铺平了道路，该解决方案可补充水电领域的硬路径。

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  • 来源
    《Energy Conversion & Management》 |2015年第1期|195-206|共12页
  • 作者

    Jiuping Xu; Ting Ni; Bobo Zheng;

  • 作者单位

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

    Low Carbon Technology and Economy Research Center, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610064, PR China;

  • 收录信息 美国《科学引文索引》(SCI);美国《工程索引》(EI);
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Hydropower development; Technological paradigm; Policy framework; Soft path;

    机译：水电开发;技术范式;政策框架;软路径;

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