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(Re) Defining Emerging Risks

机译：（重新）定义新兴风险

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摘要

The concept of emergence in risk management can be seen as a revealing symptom of the increasing need for organizations to update their portfolio of risks and opportunities in a rapidly changing and highly competitive environment. Accordingly, the concept of emerging risks has been widely discussed in both scientific and business communities, with, however, a lack of agreement as to whether we should distinguish these risks from others and, if so, what should be the adopted approach for their governance. After reviewing a large set of definitions and conceptions of emerging risks, this article aims at exploring the existence of distinctive features allowing the characterization of a risk as emerging or not. First, we will demonstrate that the features used in the various definitions are ineffective to achieve this distinction. Furthermore, we will argue that all events and consequences associated with risks are or have been states of nature that emerged from complex interactions involving combinations of hazardous activities and stakes. Accordingly, emerging risks are no longer a specific category of risks; they are rather an early step in every risk life cycle that deserves specific governance approaches.
机译：风险管理中出现的概念可以看作是组织在快速变化和高度竞争的环境中更新其风险和机遇组合的需求日益显现的一种征兆。因此，新兴风险的概念已在科学界和商业界中广泛讨论，但是，对于我们是否应该将这些风险与其他风险区分开来，以及是否应采用何种治理方法，尚缺乏共识。 。在回顾了有关新兴风险的大量定义和概念之后，本文旨在探讨独特特征的存在，这些特征可以将风险定性为新兴与否。首先，我们将证明在各种定义中使用的功能对于实现这种区分是无效的。此外，我们将论证，与风险相关的所有事件和后果都是自然状态，或者已经是自然状态，这些自然状态是由涉及危险活动和风险的组合的复杂相互作用产生的。因此，新出现的风险不再是特定的风险类别。它们是每个风险生命周期中应采取特定治理方法的第一步。

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