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A Cognitive-Affective Scale for Hurricane Risk Perception

机译：飓风风险认知的认知-情感量表

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The aim of this study was to develop a reliable and valid measure of hurricane risk perception. The utility of such a measure lies in the need to understand how people make decisions when facing an evacuation order. This study included participants located within a 15-mile buffer of the Gulf and southeast Atlantic U.S. coasts. The study was executed as a three-wave panel with mail surveys in 2010-2012 (T-0 baseline N = 629, 56%; T-1 retention N = 427, 75%; T-2 retention N = 350, 89%). An inventory based on the psychometric model was developed to discriminate cognitive and affective perceptions of hurricane risk, and included open-ended responses to solicit additional concepts in the T-0 survey. Analysis of the T-0 data modified the inventory and this revised item set was fielded at T-1 and then replicated at T-2. The resulting scales were assessed for validity against existing measures for perception of hurricane risk, dispositional optimism, and locus of control. A measure of evacuation expectation was also examined as a dependent variable, which was significantly predicted by the new measures. The resulting scale was found to be reliable, stable, and largely valid against the comparison measures. Despite limitations involving sample size, bias, and the strength of some reliabilities, it was concluded that the measure has potential to inform approaches to hurricane preparedness efforts and advance planning for evacuation messages, and that the measure has good promise to generalize to other contexts in natural hazards as well as other domains of risk.
机译：这项研究的目的是开发一种可靠，有效的飓风风险感知量度。这种措施的实用性在于需要了解人们在面对疏散命令时如何做出决定。这项研究的参与者位于墨西哥湾和美国东南大西洋沿海15英里的缓冲区内。该研究在2010-2012年期间进行了三波调查，并进行了邮件调查（T-0基线N = 629，56％; T-1保留N = 427，75％; T-2保留N = 350，89％ ）。开发了基于心理计量学模型的清单，以区分飓风风险的认知和情感感知，并在T-0调查中包括开放式回应，以征询其他概念。对T-0数据的分析修改了清单，并将此修订的物料集放置在T-1，然后在T-2复制。根据现有的飓风风险感知，性格乐观情绪和控制源的衡量标准，对所得量表的有效性进行了评估。疏散期望的度量也作为因变量进行了检查，新措施对此进行了显着预测。得出的量表相对于比较措施而言是可靠，稳定和有效的。尽管存在样本量，偏差和某些可靠性的局限性，但得出的结论是，该措施有可能为飓风的预防工作提供信息，并为疏散信息提供提前计划，并且该措施有望推广到其他情况。自然灾害以及其他风险领域。

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