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A Decision Framework for Managing Risk to Airports from Terrorist Attack

机译：管理恐怖袭击对机场风险的决策框架

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This article presents an asset-level security risk management framework to assist stakeholders of critical assets with allocating limited budgets for enhancing their safety and security against terrorist attack. The proposed framework models the security system of an asset, considers various threat scenarios, and models the sequential decision framework of attackers during the attack. Its novel contributions are the introduction of the notion of partial neutralization of attackers by defenders, estimation of total loss from successful, partially successful, and unsuccessful actions of attackers at various stages of an attack, and inclusion of the effects of these losses on the choices made by terrorists at various stages of the attack. The application of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example dealing with security risk management of a U.S. commercial airport, in which a set of plausible threat scenarios and risk mitigation options are considered. It is found that a combination of providing blast-resistant cargo containers and a video surveillance system on the airport perimeter fence is the best option based on minimum expected life-cycle cost considering a 10-year service period.
机译：本文提出了一种资产级安全风险管理框架，以帮助关键资产的利益相关者分配有限的预算，以增强其安全性和安全性，以抵御恐怖袭击。所提出的框架对资产的安全系统进行建模，考虑各种威胁场景，并对攻击者在攻击过程中的顺序决策框架进行建模。它的新颖贡献是引入了防御者对攻击者进行部分中和的概念，估算了攻击者在攻击的各个阶段中成功，部分成功和不成功行为所造成的总损失，以及这些损失对选择的影响由恐怖分子在袭击的各个阶段制造。在涉及美国商业机场安全风险管理的示例中演示了该方法的应用，其中考虑了一组合理的威胁情景和风险缓解选项。我们发现，基于预期的最小生命周期成本（考虑10年服务期），在机场周边围栏上提供防爆货物集装箱和视频监视系统是最佳选择。

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