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The Concept of Antifragility and its Implications for the Practice of Risk Analysis

机译：反脆弱性的概念及其对风险分析实践的启示

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Nassim Taleb's antifragile concept has been shown considerable interest in the media and on the Internet recently. For Taleb, the antifragile concept is a blueprint for living in a black swan world (where surprising extreme events may occur), the key being to love variation and uncertainty to some degree, and thus also errors. The antonym of fragile is not robustness or resilience, but please mishandle or please handle carelessly, using an example from Taleb when referring to sending a package full of glasses by post. In this article, we perform a detailed analysis of this concept, having a special focus on how the antifragile concept relates to common ideas and principles of risk management. The article argues that Taleb's antifragile concept adds an important contribution to the current practice of risk analysis by its focus on the dynamic aspects of risk and performance, and the necessity of some variation, uncertainties, and risk to achieve improvements and high performance at later stages.
机译：最近，Nassim Taleb的防脆弱概念在媒体和Internet上表现出了极大的兴趣。对于塔莱布（Taleb）而言，抗脆弱性概念是生活在黑天鹅世界中的蓝图（在黑天鹅世界中可能会发生令人惊讶的极端事件），关键在于一定程度上喜欢变化和不确定性，因此也喜欢错误。易碎的反义词不是坚固性或弹性，但请使用错误或不小心处理，请使用Taleb的示例，指邮寄寄送满满一副眼镜的包裹。在本文中，我们对这一概念进行了详细的分析，特别关注了抗脆弱性概念如何与风险管理的通用思想和原理相关联。文章认为，Taleb的抗脆弱性概念着眼于风险和绩效的动态方面，以及在后期阶段需要一些变化，不确定性和风险以实现改进和高性能的必要性，从而为当前的风险分析实践做出了重要贡献。 。

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