Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land-Use Planning Using a Severity-Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China

Ma Shuming; Zhang Shushen; Yu Chen; Zheng Hongbo; Song Guobao; Semakula Henry Musoke; Chai Yingying

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Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land-Use Planning Using a Severity-Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China

机译：基于严重度-脆弱性组合方法评估重大事故风险以支持土地利用规划：以中国大沽山半岛为例

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Major accident risks posed by chemical hazards have raised major social concerns in today's China. Land-use planning has been adopted by many countries as one of the essential elements for accident prevention. This article aims at proposing a method to assess major accident risks to support land-use planning in the vicinity of chemical installations. This method is based on the definition of risk by the Accidental Risk Assessment Methodology for IndustrieS (ARAMIS) project and it is an expansion application of severity and vulnerability assessment tools. The severity and vulnerability indexes from the ARAMIS methodology are employed to assess both the severity and vulnerability levels, respectively. A risk matrix is devised to support risk ranking and compatibility checking. The method consists of four main steps and is presented in geographical information-system-based maps. As an illustration, the proposed method is applied in Dagushan Peninsula, China. The case study indicated that the method could not only aid risk regulations on existing land-use planning, but also support future land-use planning by offering alternatives or influencing the plans at the development stage, and thus further enhance the roles and influence of land-use planning in the accident prevention activities in China.

机译：在当今的中国，化学危害带来的重大事故风险引起了社会的广泛关注。土地利用规划已被许多国家采纳为预防事故的基本要素之一。本文旨在提出一种评估重大事故风险的方法，以支持化学设施附近的土地使用规划。此方法基于工业意外风险评估方法（ARAMIS）项目对风险的定义，并且是严重性和漏洞评估工具的扩展应用。使用ARAMIS方法中的严重性和漏洞指数分别评估严重性和漏洞级别。设计了一个风险矩阵来支持风险排名和兼容性检查。该方法包括四个主要步骤，并在基于地理信息系统的地图中显示。举例说明，该方法被应用于中国大沽山半岛。案例研究表明，该方法不仅可以帮助制定现有土地利用规划的风险法规，而且可以通过提供替代方案或在开发阶段影响规划来支持未来的土地利用规划，从而进一步增强土地的作用和影响力使用计划在中国的事故预防活动中。

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来源
《Risk analysis》 |2015年第8期|1503-1519|共17页
作者
Ma Shuming; Zhang Shushen; Yu Chen; Zheng Hongbo; Song Guobao; Semakula Henry Musoke; Chai Yingying;
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作者单位

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Dalian Univ Technol, Key Lab Ind Ecol & Environm Engn, Minist Educ, Dalian 116024, Peoples R China;

Chinese Res Inst Environm Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
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关键词
ARAMIS; chemical hazards; land-use planning; risk assessment;

机译：ARAMIS;化学危害;土地利用规划;风险评估;

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Assessing Major Accident Risks to Support Land-Use Planning Using a Severity-Vulnerability Combination Method: A Case Study in Dagushan Peninsula, China

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