...
  • 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>The Science of the Total Environment >The semi-centennial timescale dynamic assessment on carbon emission trajectory determinants for Hebei Province within the New Normal pattern shock
【24h】

The semi-centennial timescale dynamic assessment on carbon emission trajectory determinants for Hebei Province within the New Normal pattern shock

机译：新常态震荡下河北省碳排放轨迹决定因素的半百年时标动态评估

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

New normal development pattern has already been experiencing in China since the rate of economics slowing down recent years. This new development circumstance requires targeted and adapted policy instruments as well as mitigation measures to facilitate to achieve carbon emission peak around 2030. In the context of the new normal pattern, its advancement effectiveness that boosting on carbon emission trajectory is calculated by three combination models over a semi-centennial time scales ranging from 1985 to 2035 in this study. Hebei province is estimated as the empirical case for exploring the concrete response due to its critical status. Carbon emission trajectory is revealed from both historical and future perspectives. Historical trajectory reflects the changing trend of carbon emission over time spans since 1985 and before which new normal pattern occurred. On the converse, future trajectory projects the vary orientation of carbon emission between the period around new normal occurred and up to 2035. The carbon emission trajectory is separated into historical trajectory and future trajectory taking the initial time of the New Normal period as the dividing boundary. The results show that, the peaking time for Hebei province would be appeared at 2022, 2024, and 2026 with the peaking level of 226.78, 238.22, and 250.95 million tons, respectively. A lower increasing rate of 7% for GDP, a gradually decreasing proportion of the secondary industry ranging from 44.99% by 2020 to 37.9% by 2030, and a moderate growing magnitude for energy consumption restrained beyond 371.15 Mtce towards 2030 is identified as the optimal pathway for reaching carbon emission peak. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译：自从近年来经济增长速度放慢以来，中国已经出现了新的正常发展模式。这种新的发展情况需要有针对性和适应性的政策手段以及缓解措施，以促进在2030年左右实现碳排放峰值。在新的正常模式的背景下，通过三种组合模型来计算其碳排放轨迹的提升有效性。在这项研究中，每百年的时间尺度从1985年到2035年不等。由于河北省的关键地位，估计它是探索具体应对措施的经验案例。从历史和未来的角度揭示了碳排放的轨迹。历史轨迹反映了自1985年以来碳排放量随时间变化的趋势，在此之前出现了新的正常模式。相反，未来轨迹预测了在新常态到2035年之间碳排放的变化方向。以新常态的初始时间为划分边界，碳排放轨迹分为历史轨迹和未来轨迹。 。结果表明，河北省的峰值时间将出现在2022年，2024年和2026年，峰值水平分别为226.78吨，238.22吨和25095万吨。 GDP的较低增长率为7％，第二产业的比例逐渐下降，从2020年的44.99％降低到2030年的37.9％，到2030年将能源消耗的适度增长幅度控制在371.15 Mtce以上是最佳途径达到碳排放峰值。 （C）2019 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号