Fuzzy Logic Approach to Predictive Risk Analysis in Distribution Outage Management

Po-Chen Chen; Mladen Kezunovic

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Fuzzy Logic Approach to Predictive Risk Analysis in Distribution Outage Management

机译：配电中断管理中的模糊逻辑预测风险分析

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摘要

Weather impacts are one of the main causes of distribution outages. To devise strategies to mitigate weather impacts, a fuzzy logic system for decision making is introduced. It allows utility operators to achieve more precise outage predictions and optimize real time operation and maintenance scheduling. A novel approach for weather-driven risk framework is applied to process the data and produce risk maps for better decision making. The use of weather data in reducing fault location time, an important performance improvement in outage management, is also presented.

机译：天气影响是配电中断的主要原因之一。为了设计减轻天气影响的策略，引入了用于决策的模糊逻辑系统。它使公用事业运营商可以实现更精确的停电预测并优化实时运行和维护计划。天气驱动风险框架的一种新颖方法被应用于处理数据并生成风险图以更好地进行决策。还介绍了使用气象数据减少故障定位时间，这是停机管理中的一项重要性能改进。

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《Smart Grid, IEEE Transactions on》 |2016年第6期|2827-2836|共10页
作者
Po-Chen Chen; Mladen Kezunovic;
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作者单位

Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA;

Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA;

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正文语种 eng
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关键词
Fuzzy logic; Weather forecasting; Risk analysis; Hazards; Decision making; Geographic information systems;

机译：模糊逻辑;天气预报;风险分析;危害;决策;地理信息系统;

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Fuzzy Logic Approach to Predictive Risk Analysis in Distribution Outage Management

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