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首页> 外文期刊>South Asia Economic Journal >Liberalizing Bangladesh's Services Trade: Is Joining Trade in Services Agreement the Way to Go?
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Liberalizing Bangladesh's Services Trade: Is Joining Trade in Services Agreement the Way to Go?

机译：自由化孟加拉国的服务贸易：加入服务贸易协议的方式达成协议吗？

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Although currently limited, services trade holds great potential for Bangladesh, as services already make a major contribution to GDP and employment. Services represent an important alternative (in the longer term) or complement (in the shorter term) to ready-made garments (RMGs), which have long dominated Bangladesh’s export mix. The country is poised to see declining RMG export revenues when the country graduates out of least developed country (LDC) status and loses its trade preferences in global markets. To build domestic capacity with a view to developing its services export sector, Bangladesh needs to open its market to services imports. But what approach would be best? Can a plurilateral trade agreement (PTA) like the Trade in Services Agreement (TiSA), whose members have sought to stimulate their services sectors through more liberalized trade, ever be an option? We use a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to simulate the effects of TiSA membership on Bangladesh’s economy. The results show that, overall, Bangladesh would derive marginal benefit from TiSA, but employment and exports would suffer. The worst-affected sectors would be agriculture and textiles and clothing, the country’s largest employers. To lessen the impact of increased foreign competition, a regional trade approach is recommended, supported by a sound national services strategy which would include a roadmap for tackling the country’s myriad supply-side shortcomings. JEL: F13, F14, F15, F16.
机译：虽然目前有限，服务贸易对孟加拉国持有巨大潜力，因为服务已经为GDP和就业作出了重大贡献。服务代表了一项重要的替代方案（在长期）或补充（在较短的期限内）到现成的服装（RMG），长期占据孟加拉国的出口组合。该国有望看到RMG出口收入下降，当国家毕业于最不发达国家（LDC）地位并在全球市场中失去其贸易偏好。为了开展业务出口部门，孟加拉国建立国内能力，需要开设其进口市场。但是最好的方法是最好的？季度贸易协定（PTA）可以像服务协议贸易（TISA），其成员试图通过更自由化的贸易刺激其服务部门，永远是一种选择？我们使用动态可计算的通用均衡（CGE）模型来模拟TISA成员对孟加拉国经济的影响。结果表明，总体而言，孟加拉国将从TISA推出边际利益，但就业和出口将受到影响。最严重影响的部门将是农业和纺织品和服装，该国最大的雇主。为了减少外国竞争增加的影响，建议采取区域贸易办法，由健全的国家服务战略支持，该战略将包括解决该国无数供应缺点的路线图。 jel：f13，f14，f15，f16。

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