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Key trends in the field of global satellite communications

机译：全球卫星通信领域的主要趋势

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The last decade of the 20th century has been a period of considerable growth for the satellite communications business. This growth has been dominated by the distribution of TV to cable head ends, network affiliates and directly to the home. We expect that the next decade will continue to be a period of impressive growth for satellites. Increased demand for TV and for the transport and delivery of data and Intelsat ser- vices should drive this growth. Global demand for communications and deregulation should be a major factor as well. While new technology is important, the driving forces for this growth will be the marketplace for these services. The delivery of services directly to the home and to small businesses is expected to be a major driving force. While satellite-based mobile telephony has experienced a disappointing start, this market and the delivery of Internet material directly to the home is expected to be a major satellite business. The 20th century relied on satellites located in GEO for these services. This will change, as constellations of LEO and MEO satellites provide global delivery of mobile and Internet services. This increased satellite business has not gone unnoticed. Our study indicated an impressive interest in the future of satellites and their increased markets by both foreign governments and businesses. These entities have instituted significant R&D programs to ensure their future presence in this growing market. The US needs to take heed to this foreign interest and to make similar R&D investments in this technology. In addition to technology, the ability of satellites to continue their business growth is dependent on the timely ad- dressing of such issues as; continuing deregulation, the resolution of spectrum, standards, trade agreements, globalization of business entities and business and government leadership.
机译：20世纪的最后十年对于卫星通信业务而言是一个可观的增长时期。电视的增长主要是通过将电视分配到电缆头端，网络分支机构以及直接分配给家庭。我们预计，未来十年将继续是人造卫星令人瞩目的增长时期。对电视以及数据和Intelsat服务的传输和交付的需求增加将推动这一增长。全球对通信和放松管制的需求也应该是一个主要因素。尽管新技术很重要，但这种增长的驱动力将是这些服务的市场。直接向家庭和小型企业提供服务有望成为主要动力。尽管基于卫星的移动电话的开局令人失望，但这个市场以及直接向家庭提供Internet资料预计将是一项主要的卫星业务。 20世纪依靠GEO的卫星提供这些服务。随着LEO和MEO卫星星座提供全球移动和Internet服务交付，这将改变。卫星业务的增长并没有引起人们的注意。我们的研究表明，外国政府和企业都对卫星及其未来市场的发展产生了浓厚的兴趣。这些实体已经制定了重要的研发计划，以确保它们在这个不断增长的市场中的未来地位。美国需要注意这种外国利益，并对该技术进行类似的研发投资。除技术外，卫星能否继续其业务增长的能力还取决于是否及时解决以下问题：持续放宽管制，解决频谱，标准，贸易协定，企业实体全球化以及企业和政府领导的问题。

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