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The Importance of Human Space Exploration

机译:太空探索的重要性

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Critics of America's manned spaceflight program like to question the value of the international space station, or of journeys to the Moon and Mars, by challenging proponents to identify benefits sufficient to justify the cost and risk. If the discussion is conducted on such terms, the conclusion is foregone. The costs are well-established and, with our present level of technology, very high, but the benefits are not easily predicted. As a matter of narrow fiscal policy, it seems more sensible to invest in activities with a more certain return. Case closed. But to me, this is a classic case of green-eyeshade thinking applied beyond its useful domain-a misguided attempt to quantify, in dollars and cents, the value of an inherently unknown future. It is the kind of thinking that caused the pundits of the time to characterize the purchase of Alaska as "Seward's Folly."
机译:批评美国载人航天计划的人喜欢质疑国际空间站或登月和火星旅行的价值,他们向支持者提出挑战,以找出足以证明其成本和风险合理的利益。如果以这样的术语进行讨论,那么结论就已成定局。成本是公认的,并且以我们目前的技术水平来看,成本很高,但是收益不容易预测。就狭fiscal的财政政策而言,投资具有更高确定回报的活动似乎更为明智。案件结案。但是对我而言,这是绿色眼影思维的典型案例,其应用范围超出了其有用的领域-一种误导性的尝试,以美元和美分来量化本来未知的未来的价值。这种想法引起了当时的学者的批评,将购买阿拉斯加称为“苏厄德的愚蠢”。

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