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Turkey's Moment of Inflection

机译:土耳其的转折时刻

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摘要

Turkey today imagines itself as a major contender on the global scene. It is the world's seventeenth-largest economy and has used its geostrategic position and active diplomacy to assume membership in the UN Security Council for the first time in almost 50 years, to become a member of the G20 and to take on a visible role in international disputes. But it faces daunting obstacles at home and abroad, the two most important being the Kurdish problem and the state of civil-military relations. How the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) handles these two challenges will determine whether the current improvement in the Turkish political economy proves to be fleeting. Turkey is at an inflection moment. If it can resolve these problems it will find that many of the obstacles to European membership and continuing development will rapidly recede. Failure will mean a return to nationalist and autarchic policies as well as continual violence and instability.
机译:今天,土耳其将自己想象成全球舞台上的主要竞争者。它是世界第十七大经济体,并利用其地缘战略地位和积极的外交手段,近50年来首次成为联合国安理会成员,成为20国集团(G20)的成员,并在国际社会中扮演明显的角色纠纷。但是它在国内外面临着艰巨的障碍,其中两个最重要的是库尔德问题和军民关系的状况。执政的正义与发展党(AKP)如何应对这两个挑战,将决定当前土耳其政治经济的改善是否证明是短暂的。土耳其正处于一个转折时刻。如果它能够解决这些问题,它将发现许多阻碍加入欧洲和继续发展的障碍将迅速消失。失败将意味着回归民族主义和专制政策以及持续的暴力和不稳定。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Survival》 |2010年第3期|P.39-50|共12页
  • 作者

    Henri J. Barkey;

  • 作者单位

    International Relations at Lehigh University;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
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