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Will Europe's Past Be Asia's Future?

机译：欧洲的过去会成为亚洲的未来吗？

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摘要

For the first time in the modern era, Asia i5 emerging as a distinct regional state system -- a cluster of strong, prosperous, independent nations dealing intensively and continuously with one another in diplomatic, strategic and economic matters. Prior to the nineteenth century, geography and technology combined to keep these Asian interactions at a comparatively low level. During the tuneteenth and twentieth centuries, the region was largely dominated by outside imperial powers, then divided by the Cold War. As the twenty-first century begins, Asia will take its place alongside Europe and North America as a leading center of wealth and power. As this happens, the overriding strategic question concerns the nature of relations among these states. Is Asia, like Europe before it, destined to endure an interva1 of interstate rivalry and, perhaps, war? Or will the Asian states move directly to a protracted period of peace, prosperity and stability?
机译：亚洲i5在现代时代首次成为一个独特的地区国家体系-由强大，繁荣，独立的国家组成的集群，在外交，战略和经济事务上进行密集而持续的交往。在19世纪之前，地理和技术相结合，使这些亚洲互动活动保持在相对较低的水平。在二十世纪和二十世纪期间，该地区主要由外部帝国统治，然后被冷战所分割。随着二十一世纪的开始，亚洲将取代欧洲和北美，成为主要的财富和权力中心。在这种情况下，最重要的战略问题涉及这些国家之间关系的性质。亚洲是否像欧洲一样注定要经受国家间竞争以及也许是战争的干扰？还是亚洲国家会直接进入长期的和平，繁荣与稳定时期？

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