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Leaving the 'sustainability or collapse' narrative behind

机译：抛开“可持续性或崩溃”的叙述

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摘要

In this paper, we investigate the cogency of the "sustainability or collapse" narrative, that is, the notion that the current global civilization risks ecological overshoot-induced collapse. Combining different strands of literature, we put forward three arguments: First, for many empirical cases of past societies that purportedly "collapsed", alternative interpretations, emphasizing resilience, transformation and reorganization are equally if not more plausible. Second, the "sustainability or collapse" narrative tends to be misleading insofar as it suggests that resource input constraints are the main sustainability challenge global civilization faces today. Instead, we argue that a stronger focus on system outputs and pollution is needed. Third, collapse-warnings are psychologically ineffective because they might induce fear and guilt, which leads to apathy not action. In consequence, we suggest that the sustainability agenda relies on positive framings that highlight the benefits from institutional and behavioral changes for human well-being. We illustrate our argument with two examples, water scarcity in Cape Town, South Africa and the German energy transition.
机译：在本文中，我们研究了“可持续性或崩溃”叙事的说服力，即当前全球文明有可能因生态超调而导致崩溃的风险。结合文学的不同方面，我们提出了三个论点：首先，对于过去被称为“崩溃”的过去社会的许多经验案例，替代性解释，强调适应力，转变和重组同样合理，甚至更为合理。第二，“可持续性或崩溃”的说法往往会引起误解，因为它表明资源投入的限制是当今全球文明面临的主要可持续性挑战。相反，我们认为需要更加关注系统的输出和污染。第三，崩溃警告在心理上是无效的，因为它们可能引起恐惧和内，从而导致冷漠而不是行动。因此，我们建议可持续发展议程依赖于积极的框架，这些框架突出了制度和行为变化对人类福祉的好处。我们用两个例子来说明我们的论点，南非开普敦的水资源短缺和德国的能源转型。

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  • 来源
    《Sustainability science》 |2019年第6期|1717-1728|共12页
  • 作者

    Strunz Sebastian; Marselle Melissa; Schroeter Matthias;

  • 作者单位

    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res Dept Econ Permoserstr 15 D-04318 Leipzig Germany;

    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res Dept Ecosyst Serv Permoserstr 15 D-04318 Leipzig Germany|German Ctr Integrat Biodivers Res iDiv Deutsch Pl 5e D-04103 Leipzig Germany;

    UFZ Helmholtz Ctr Environm Res Dept Computat Landscape Ecol Permoserstr 15 D-04318 Leipzig Germany;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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  • 关键词

    Behavior; Collapse; Overshoot; Resilience; Sustainability;

    机译：行为;坍方;超调;弹性;可持续发展;

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