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Openness disposition: Readiness characteristics that influence participant benefits from scenario planning as strategic conversation

机译：开放性：影响参与者的准备就绪特性将从作为战略对话的方案规划中受益

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摘要

In this paper we examine the impact of participant readiness to engage with, perform and benefit from scenario planning processes. Central to our examination is the concept of 'openness disposition', which in the context of scenario planning refers to the tendency to seek either to hold open ambiguity, complexity and uncertainty, or look for closure, simplification and surety when engaging in strategic conversations. Readiness indicates the capacity of individuals and collectives to work with competing narratives, dilemmas, tensions and differences of opinion, as may occur in scenario work. A focus on readiness through openness disposition enables critical evaluation of the utility of scenario planning to different individuals and groups based on their capacity to engage with equivocality during structured, exploratory strategic conversations. Based on findings emerging from a longitudinal field study with ProRail B.V. Holland, we empirically identify three characteristics of participant readiness, which are theorised to extend understanding of how individuals and groups might engage in, cope and benefit from, scenario planning processes. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译：在本文中，我们研究了参与者准备好参与情境规划过程，从中受益并从中受益的影响。我们的研究重点是“开放性”概念，在情境规划的背景下，它是指倾向于进行开放性歧义，复杂性和不确定性，或者在进行战略性对话时寻求封闭，简化和保证的趋势。准备状态表明个人和集体有能力处理场景中可能发生的竞争性叙述，困境，紧张关系和意见分歧。通过开放性的准备状态的关注，可以基于在有组织的探索性战略对话中参与模棱两可的能力，对情景规划对不同个人和群体的效用进行批判性评估。基于ProRail B.V. Holland进行的纵向实地研究得出的结论，我们凭经验确定了参与者准备就绪的三个特征，这些特征在理论上可以扩展对个人和团体如何参与，应对和从情景规划过程中受益的理解。 （C）2016 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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