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From foresight to impact? The 2030 Future of Work scenarios

机译：从远见到冲击？ 2030年工作的未来情景

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Several factors have been identified as important in generating policy-related impact from foresight work, including an effective communications strategy, engagement with relevant stakeholders, creating partnerships, and alignment with the policy-making agenda. The aim of this paper is to explore the use and impact of a scenarios project on the future of work in the UK, undertaken by the UK Commission for Employment and Skills (Future of Work: Jobs and Skills in 2030). The paper presents the results of a post-project study, where data from UKCES has been collected in two rounds in the first two years after the conclusion of the project. The evidence indicates that it has been an impactful project on many levels. Eight factors linked to foresight impact have been identified. The two most critical of these factors are the role of the 'foresight frontman', a high-profile and esteemed individual who is able to engage audiences widely and effectively; and a multi-channel communications strategy that encompasses diverse aspects such as professional design, visualisation and social media. Foresight impact is considered as a key design issue for projects ab initio; dynamic and iterative engagement processes support co-production and facilitate impact prospects. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译：已经发现有几个因素对预见工作产生与政策相关的影响很重要，包括有效的沟通策略，与相关利益相关者的参与，建立伙伴关系以及与决策议程保持一致。本文的目的是探讨由英国就业和技能委员会（工作的未来：2030年的工作和技能）开展的情景项目对英国未来工作的使用和影响。本文介绍了一项项目后研究的结果，该项目完成后的头两年中，UKCES的数据已分两轮收集。证据表明，这是一个在许多层面上具有影响力的项目。已经确定了与前瞻性影响相关的八个因素。这些因素中最关键的两个是“前瞻性负责人”的角色，他是一位备受尊敬且备受尊敬的个人，能够广泛有效地吸引观众。以及涵盖专业设计，可视化和社交媒体等各个方面的多渠道传播策略。从头开始就将远见影响视为关键设计问题；动态和迭代的参与过程支持联合制作并促进影响前景。 （C）2016 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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