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Some remarks concerning the cost/benefit analysis applied to LHC at CERN

机译:有关欧洲核子研究中心应用于大型强子对撞机成本/效益分析的一些评论

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The cost/benefit analysis originally developed for infrastructures in the economic sector has recently been extended by Florio et al. to infrastructures of basic research. As a case study the large accelerator LHC at CERN and its experiments have been selected since as a paradigmatic example of frontier research they offer an excellent case to test the CBA model. It will be shown that in spite of this improved method the LHC poses serious difficulties for such an analysis. Some principle difficulties are due to the special character of scientific projects. Their main result is the production of new basic scientific knowledge whose net social value cannot be easily expressed in monetary terms. Other problems are related to the very strong integration of LHC into the general activities of CERN providing however, interesting observations concerning a new management style for global projects. Finally the mission of CERN (including LHC) is unique since it was founded with two tasks promote science and bring nations together. No way has yet been developed to assess in economic terms success for the second objective. The main conclusion is that the overall result of the CB analysis, the Net Present Value, although positive for LHC, has a large uncertainty and if used to assess a project needs a detailed discussion. On the other hand partial results can be very useful, for example for the results of education or technology transfer. (C) 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:Florio等人最近扩展了最初为经济部门基础设施开发的成本/收益分析。基础研究的基础设施。作为案例研究,选择了CERN的大型加速器LHC及其实验,因为它们是前沿研究的范例,它们为测试CBA模型提供了一个极好的案例。可以看出,尽管采用了这种改进的方法,大型强子对撞机仍对这种分析造成了严重的困难。某些原则上的困难归因于科学项目的特殊性。他们的主要结果是产生了新的基础科学知识,这些科学知识的净社会价值无法轻易地用货币来表达。其他问题与大型强子对撞机非常强大地整合到欧洲核子研究组织的一般活动有关,但是,提供了有关全球项目新管理方式的有趣观察。最后,欧洲核子研究组织(包括LHC)的使命是独特的,因为它的成立有两项任务,即促进科学发展和将各国团结在一起。尚未开发出从经济角度评估第二个目标是否成功的方法。主要结论是,CB分析的总体结果,净现值尽管对LHC有利,但不确定性很大,如果用于评估项目,则需要详细讨论。另一方面,部分结果可能非常有用,例如对于教育或技术转让的结果。 (C)2016 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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