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The augmented unified localizable crisis scale

机译：增强统一的本地化危机规模

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Trying to predict whether a crisis or emergency event is going to occur is a challenge, but attempting to do so without a quantifiable scale makes the task a virtual mission impossible. A crisis scale is also needed to perform effective post-crisis analysis. The extant scales, however, are inadequate. To address these issues, we developed the unified localizable crisis scale, but it only partially fulfills the prerequisites for effective emergency response and management. Among the features of the augmented unified localizable crisis scale that exploits the use of a critical emergency surface and a scheme for predicting when and how events can lead to emergency scenarios to improve forecasts about and responses to emergencies. Applicable to the measurement of any type of emergency or crisis, be it a natural or human-made event, the scale also enables users to compare dissimilar crisis events. This is of tremendous social value when, for example, the emergency responses to several regional or national emergencies need to be managed in parallel. In such situations, emergency response management teams can use the scale to evaluate the magnitudes and trajectories of the co-occurring emergencies, which will enable them to prioritize resource allocation and to take commensurate managerial actions. The efficacy and efficiency of the crisis scale is illustrated with several examples spanning local to national events. (c) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译：试图预测是否会发生危机或紧急事件是一个挑战，但是尝试以没有可量化的规模进行尝试将使该任务成为虚拟任务是不可能的。还需要危机量表来执行有效的危机后分析。然而，现存的量表是不够的。为了解决这些问题，我们制定了统一的本地化危机规模，但仅部分满足了有效的应急响应和管理的先决条件。增强的统一可本地化危机量表的功能包括利用关键的紧急表面以及用于预测事件何时和如何导致紧急情况的方案，以改进对紧急情况的预测和响应。该量表适用于测量任何类型的紧急事件或危机，无论是自然事件还是人为事件，该标尺还使用户能够比较不同的危机事件。例如，当需要同时管理对几个区域或国家紧急情况的紧急响应时，这具有巨大的社会价值。在这种情况下，应急管理团队可以使用该量表来评估同时发生的紧急情况的规模和轨迹，这将使他们能够优先分配资源并采取相应的管理措施。危机量表的有效性和效率用从本地到全国性事件的几个例子进行了说明。 （c）2015 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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