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A review of socio-technical energy transition (STET) models

机译:社会技术能量转换(STET)模型的回顾

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Many existing technical feasibility and modelling studies in the energy field are criticised for their limited treatment of societal actors and socio-political dynamics, poor representation of the co-evolving nature of society and technology, and hence an inability to analyse socio-technical change. At the same time, prominent conceptual frameworks of socio-technical transitions that address these elements are often found to be difficult to operationalize in quantitative energy analyses that meet policy development requirements. However a new energy modelling paradigm has started to emerge for integrating both quantitative modelling and conceptual socio-technical transitions. This paper provides a taxonomy for this new model category: 'socio-technical energy transition' (STET) models. A review of existing STET models and their applications to the energy supply, buildings and transport sectors is provided. Following this review, the paper reflects on the extent to which these existing quantitative models captured the variety of factors covered in socio-technical transitions theory, highlights the challenges associated with their theoretical and behavioural validation, and proposes future development priorities for STET models. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
机译:能源领域中许多现有的技术可行性和模型研究受到批评,因为它们对社会行为者和社会政治动态的处理有限,对社会和技术的共同发展本质的代表性不强,因此无法分析社会技术变化。同时,在满足政策制定要求的定量能源分析中,解决这些要素的重要社会技术转型概念框架通常难以实施。但是,已经出现了一种新的能源建模范式,它将定量建模和概念性社会技术转变结合在一起。本文为这种新的模型类别提供了一种分类法:“社会技术能源转换”(STET)模型。本文对现有的STET模型及其在能源供应,建筑和运输领域的应用进行了回顾。经过这次审查,本文反映了这些现有的定量模型在多大程度上涵盖了社会技术转型理论所涵盖的各种因素,突出了与其理论和行为验证相关的挑战,并提出了STET模型的未来发展重点。 (C)2015 Elsevier Inc.保留所有权利。

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