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Perceptions of domain experts on impact of foresight on policy making: The case of Japan

机译：领域专家对远见对政策制定的影响的看法：日本为例

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摘要

In this study, the perceptions of domain experts who participated in foresight activities on the impact on policy making are examined by conducting interviews and surveys on five previous foresights in Japan between 1996 and 2007. The purpose of the study is to examine how domain experts look at the practice of foresight in general, and perceive its overall impact on policy making in particular, in the setting of Japanese foresight conducted in the past 15 years. There are two tasks for doing that in this study: to know the views of scientists and engineers who participated in foresights on the impact of foresights they participated; and to know the effect of respondent's characteristics on their perceptions on impact. There are two main findings of this study. First, the impact on policy making perceived by domain experts who participated in foresight activities in Japan is not very high. Second, there are different patterns of perception on the size of the impact on policy making depending on ages, organizations, member status during foresight, and science and technology areas, and habit of following the situation in general looking for any impacts after the foresight.
机译：在本研究中，通过对1996年至2007年间日本先前的五项远见进行访谈和调查，从而考察了参与远见活动的领域专家的看法。在一般的远见卓识的实践中，尤其是在过去15年日本进行的远见卓识中，它尤其对政策制定产生了总体影响。这项研究有两个任务要做：了解参与预见的科学家和工程师对其预见的影响的观点；并了解受访者的特征对他们对影响的看法的影响。这项研究有两个主要发现。首先，参加日本预见活动的领域专家对政策制定的影响不是很大。其次，对决策影响的大小有不同的看法，具体取决于年龄，组织，预见期间的成员身份以及科学和技术领域，以及习惯于大致了解情况以寻找预见后的任何影响的习惯。

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