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S&T policy and foresight investigation -impacts in Japan

机译：科技政策与前瞻性调查-对日本的影响

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Purpose - The 9th S&T Foresight for Japan has recently been completed. A key element of this Foresight is that S&T is now expected to indicate solutions for broad social issues and global issues (climate change, etc.) including those that address Japan's most urgent challenges (e.g. energy, aging population). This mission-oriented foresight is novel for the Japanese, since prior foresight exercises have been done with a technology focus. This paper aims to address how the new view of foresight - as more than mere technical potentials - has resulted in several types of foresight impacts, which are noted in the main text. Design/methodology/approach - The 9th Delphi Survey involved two types of interdisciplinary perspectives related to Japan's social future (Safe, Secure, Cooperation and Collaboration) and 12 S&T fields. The committees discussed what could emerge within 30 years and involved 26 domains of social expertise and 140 specialists. Findings - The 9th S&T Foresight investigation consists of an integration of three foresight methods -Delphi survey, scenario writing, and capability of local regions for green innovation - regarding sustainable development. Each method provides clear messages, and has unique impacts. Originality/value - Overall, a major foresight impact has been to enable a broader view of innovation to prevail in this ninth foresight, where social-scenario insights and more socially adaptive policies complement the traditional S&T focus developed by Delphi surveys 1-8. This shifted the policy discourse toward societal innovation from technical innovation.
机译：目的-第九届日本科学技术展望已经完成。这项远见卓识的关键在于，现在预计科学技术将为广泛的社会问题和全球性问题（气候变化等）提供解决方案，包括那些应对日本最紧迫挑战（例如能源，人口老龄化）的解决方案。对于日本人而言，这种面向任务的远见卓识是新颖的，因为先前的远见卓识练习都是以技术为重点的。本文旨在解决远见的新观点（不仅是技术潜力）如何导致了几种类型的远见影响，这些在正文中都有提及。设计/方法/方法-第9次德尔菲调查涉及与日本社会未来有关的两种跨学科观点（安全，有保障，合作与协作）和12个S＆T领域。委员会讨论了30年后可能出现的情况，涉及26个社会专业知识领域和140名专家。调查结果-第九次科学技术远见调查包括与可持续发展相关的三种远见方法-德尔福调查，情景编写和当地区域绿色创新能力。每种方法均提供清晰的消息，并具有独特的影响。原创性/价值-总体而言，前瞻性的主要影响是使人们能够在第九个远见卓识中获得更广泛的创新视野，其中，社会场景见解和更具社会适应性的政策补充了德尔菲调查1-8所确立的传统科技重点。这将政策论述从技术创新转向了社会创新。

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