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Bundling agricultural technologies to adapt to climate change

机译:捆绑农业技术以适应气候变化

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摘要

Farmers can respond to climate change by modifying their technologies or management practices, or both. In this paper, we examine the choice of crop, irrigation, and cover as a bundled decision by a farmer. Using discrete choice analysis and a cross section of farms from Israel, we test whether these decisions are sensitive to climate and find that they are. In the case of Israel, the farmers completely substitute capital for climate. Simulating increase in temperature suggests that warming would lead Israeli farmers to shift mainly to orchards under cover and irrigation. But it is likely that bundling adaptations will provide flexibility and sustainability for future farmers in many locations under climate change conditions.
机译:农民可以通过修改其技术或管理实践,或同时修改两者来应对气候变化。在本文中,我们将农民选择的作物,灌溉和覆盖范围作为一个捆绑决策进行研究。使用离散选择分析和以色列农场的横截面,我们测试了这些决定是否对气候敏感,并发现它们是否对气候敏感。就以色列而言,农民完全用资本代替气候。模拟温度升高表明,变暖将导致以色列农民主要转移到有遮盖和灌溉作用的果园。但捆绑式适应可能会为气候变化条件下许多地区的未来农民提供灵活性和可持续性。

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