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首页> 外文期刊>Technology analysis & strategic management >Conditions and intervention strategies for the deliberate acceleration of socio-technical transitions: lessons from a comparative multi-level analysis of two historical case studies in Dutch and Danish heating
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Conditions and intervention strategies for the deliberate acceleration of socio-technical transitions: lessons from a comparative multi-level analysis of two historical case studies in Dutch and Danish heating

机译：故意加速社会技术转型的条件和干预策略：两种历史案例研究中的比较多层次分析的教训

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摘要

Policy-oriented transition frameworks such as Strategic Niche Management, Transition Management, and Technological Innovation Systems offer limited analytical traction on deliberately accelerated socio-technical transitions. Using the Multi-Level Perspective as guiding framework, we therefore inductively explore the political acceleration of socio-technical transitions by investigating two deliberately accelerated heating transitions: the transition from coal and oil to natural gas in the Netherlands (1948-1973), and the transition from oil to district heating in Denmark (1945-1990), to draw lessons about the conditions and intervention strategies that facilitate rapid socio-technical change. We find that both cases were characterised by weakened regimes, stabilised niche-innovations, focusing events, and consensus between policymakers and business actors. User resistance was also low in both cases, partly because of public policies. Different focusing events in each case produced problem-driven versus opportunity-driven transition pathways; the former destabilised existing regimes but generated future-oriented uncertainty, while the latter facilitated rapid closure.
机译：面向政策的过渡框架，如战略性的利基管理，过渡管理和技术创新系统，在故意加速的社会技术转型方面提供有限的分析牵引力。使用多级视角作为指导框架，因此，通过调查两个故意加速的加热过渡，电感探索社会技术转型的政治加速：从煤炭和油到荷兰天然气的过渡（1948-1973），以及从石油到丹麦（1945-1990）的地区供暖过渡，借鉴有关促进社会技术变革快速的条件和干预策略的课程。我们发现这两种案例都被削弱了制度，稳定的利基 - 创新，重点活动和政策制定者与商业行动者之间的共识。两种情况下，用户抵抗也很低，部分原因是公共政策。在每种情况下不同的聚焦事件产生问题驱动与机会驱动的过渡途径;前者稳定的现有制度，但产生了面向未来的不确定性，而后者促进了快速关闭。

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