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LAYING DOWN THE LAW

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At 72, Intel cofounder Gordon Moore has "gone fishin"'-if you don't count looking for aliens and launching a $5 billion foundation to back far-out research and protect the environment. Gordon Moore is most famous for coining Moore's Law, his 1965 prediction that the number of transistors that could be packed into an integrated circuit would double every year. A decade later, he revised that estimate to every two years-a prediction that has held remarkably true ever since and is often used as a baseline for evaluating performance in other spheres of computing. But the semiconductor pioneer and cofounder of Intel claims he has never really been good at predicting the future. In fact, he says he's pretty bad at it.
机译:英特尔联合创始人戈登·摩尔(Gordon Moore)享年72岁,如果您不算在寻找外星人,并启动一个50亿美元的基金会来支持遥远的研究并保护环境,那您就“走了”。戈登·摩尔(Gordon Moore)以创造摩尔定律而闻名,他在1965年的预测中说,可以封装到集成电路中的晶体管数量每年都会翻一番。十年后,他将该估算值每两年修订一次,此预测自那时以来一直非常正确,并且经常用作评估其他计算领域性能的基准。但是英特尔的半导体先驱和联合创始人声称,他从未真正擅长预测未来。实际上,他说他对此很不好。

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    《Technology Review》 |2001年第4期|p.64-68|共5页
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  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 工业技术;
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