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Modeling flood event characteristics using D-vine structures

机译:使用D-vine结构建模洪水事件特征

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The authors investigate the use of drawable (D-)vine structures to model the dependences existing among the main characteristics of a flood event, i.e., flood volume, flood peak, duration, and peak time. Firstly, different three- and four-dimensional probability distributions were built considering all the permutations of the conditioning variables. The Frank copula was used to model the dependence of each pair of variables. Then, the appropriate D-vine structures were selected using information criteria and a goodness-of-fit test. The influence of varying the data length on the selected D-vine structure was also investigated. Finally, flood event characteristics were simulated using the four-dimensional D-vine structure.
机译:作者研究了使用可绘制的(D-)葡萄树结构来建模洪水事件主要特征之间存在的依存关系,即洪水量,洪水高峰,持续时间和高峰时间。首先,考虑条件变量的所有排列,建立了不同的三维概率分布。 Frank copula用于建模每对变量的依赖性。然后,使用信息标准和拟合优度测试选择适当的D型蔓藤结构。还研究了改变数据长度对所选D-vine结构的影响。最后,使用三维D型藤结构模拟洪水事件特征。

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