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On the significance of the prior of a correct decision in committees

机译:关于事先作出正确决定的重要性

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摘要

The current note clarifies why, in committees, the prior probability of a correct collective choice might be of particular significance and possibly should sometimes even be the sole appropriate basis for making the collective decision. In particular, we present sufficient conditions for the superiority of a rule based solely on the prior relative to the simple majority rule, even when the decisional skills of the committee members are assumed to be homogeneous.
机译:当前的注释阐明了为什么在委员会中进行正确的集体选择的先验概率可能具有特别重要的意义,并且有时甚至应该成为做出集体决定的唯一适当基础。尤其是,即使假定委员会成员的决策技能是同质的,我们也为仅基于先验相对于简单多数规则的规则的优越性提供了充分条件。

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