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Mathematical Modeling of the Heat Energy Market on a Single Heat Supplier Basis

机译：基于单一供热商的热能市场的数学建模

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Organizational models of the heat energy market on a Single Heat Supplier basis (SHS) operating in free (liberalized) and regulated tariff environments are considered. An equilibrium mathematical model is proposed for the liberalized tariff setting conditions based on a microeconomic monopolistic market model. This mathematical model allows for taking into account energy production and transportation costs as part of a single economic criterion and to determine the supply-and-demand equilibrium for heat energy. A regulated heat energy market model on the SHS basis considers an option of a tariff setting for consumers of the housing and utility sector at the level of average total costs and on the demand basis for industrial consumers. Hydraulic circuit theory models and methods, as well as basic microeconomic provisions, are adopted as a scientific and methodological basis describing the proposed mathematical models. To solve the energy supply and demand equilibrium problem, an algorithm is developed for both energy tariff options based on univariate relaxation using redundant design schemes and simple iteration. The developed mathematical models fully reflect the current “rules of the game” between heat energy producers and consumers and allow a maximum consideration for the interests of all participants of the heat supply process under physical and engineering constraints on heat energy sources and heat networks. By means of the developed mathematical models, practical studies are carried out on the effect of the adopted heat energy price calculation method on both the market supply-and-demand equilibrium and on the main technical and economic characteristics of the real heat supply system of the city of Angarsk. Technical and economic assessments performed according to the indicated tariffs make it possible to conclude that the lack of regulation will lead to an uncontrolled rise in prices for heat energy for consumers and gaining of abnormal profits by energy suppliers.
机译：考虑在自由（自由化）和受监管的关税环境下运行的单一供热商（SHS）基础上的热能市场的组织模型。针对基于微观经济垄断市场模型的自由化关税设定条件，提出了一个平衡数学模型。该数学模型允许将能源生产和运输成本作为单个经济标准的一部分考虑在内，并确定热能的供需平衡。在SHS基础上的受管制热能市场模型考虑了以平均总成本水平和工业消费者需求为基础，为住房和公用事业部门的消费者设定关税的一种选择。液压回路理论模型和方法以及基本的微观经济学规定，被用作描述所提出的数学模型的科学和方法论基础。为了解决能源供需平衡问题，针对单价弛豫的两种能源电价方案，使用冗余设计方案和简单迭代方法，开发了一种算法。建立的数学模型充分反映了热能生产者和消费者之间当前的“博弈规则”，并且在热能源和热网的物理和工程约束下，可以最大限度地考虑供热过程中所有参与者的利益。通过建立的数学模型，对采用的热能价格计算方法对市场供需平衡以及对实际供热系统的主要技术和经济特征的影响进行了实践研究。安加尔斯克市。根据指示的关税进行的技术和经济评估可以得出结论，缺乏监管将导致消费者的热能价格不受控制地上涨，并导致能源供应商获得不正常的利润。

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