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Integrated Enterprise Risk Management to Synchronize Safety and Profitability Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants

机译:综合企业风险管理,使核电厂安全性和盈利能力分析同步

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摘要

In the authors' ongoing research [1], an Integrated En-terprise Risk Management (I-ERM) methodological frame-work is developed in order to promote the sustainability of the U.S. nuclear fleet by supporting plant decision-making with respect to improving safety, cost savings and avoidance of production loss, while satisfying short- and long-term regulatory requirements. The I-ERM framework focuses on two main interrelated outcomes of an organization: safety outcome and financial outcome. For the nuclear power op-erating organizations, the I-ERM framework measures safe-ty based on the systematic risk estimated from Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), and measures financial outcomes based on profitability, or revenue minus cost (e.g., Opera-tions and Maintenance [O&M] costs). Compared to existing ERM approaches, the value of I-ERM is that more in-depth causalities for physical degradation (e.g., stress corrosion cracking) and social contributing factors (e.g., human and organizational factors), associated with O&M of the Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs), are explicitly incorporated into an integrated timely-synchronized assessment of safety risk (i.e.. Core Damage Frequency [CDF] and Large Early Re-lease Frequency [LERF]) and financial risk. The explicit incorporation of underlying causal mechanisms can help more realistically address the interrelationship and depend-ency between safety risk and financial risk induced by their shared physical and social contributing factors. In addition, the explicit incorporation of underlying causal factors al-lows for an in-depth importance measure analysis to identify the most critical safety and cost contributors, thus enhancing ERM by helping the decision makers generate more effec-tive and efficient O&M strategies for the prevention and mitigation of undesirable events.
机译:在作者的持续研究[1]中,开发了一个集成的en-terprise风险管理(I-ERM)方法论框架工作,以便通过支持植物决策来促进美国核舰队的可持续性,以提高安全性,节省成本和避免生产损失,同时满足短期和长期监管要求。 I-ERM框架侧重于组织的两个主要相互关联的结果:安全结果和财务结果。对于核电力运营组织,I-ERM框架根据概率风险评估(PRA)估计的系统风险,并根据盈利能力或收入减去费用(例如,歌剧和维护[o&m]成本)。与现有的ERM方法相比,I-ERM的价值是与核电站O&M相关的物理降级(例如,压力腐蚀开裂)和社会贡献因素(例如,人和组织因素)的更深入的因果关系(NPPS)明确地纳入了对安全风险的综合及时同步评估(即核心损伤频率[CDF]和大型早期重新租用频率[LERF])和财务风险。潜在的因果机制的明确纳入可以帮助更现实地解决他们共同的身体和社会贡献因素所引起的安全风险和财务风险之间的相互关系。此外,明确纳入潜在因果区Al-Lows的深入重要性措施分析,以确定最关键的安全性和成本贡献者,从而通过帮助决策者产生更多的有效性和高效的O&M策略来增强ERM预防和减轻不良事件。

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  • 来源
    《Transactions of the American nuclear society》 |2020年第11期|959-962|共4页
  • 作者单位

    Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA) Laboratory Department of Nuclear Plasma and Radiological Engineering Grainger College of Engineering University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (U1UC) 104 S Wright St. Urbana IL 61801 USA Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology UIUC Urbana IL USA;

    Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA) Laboratory Department of Nuclear Plasma and Radiological Engineering Grainger College of Engineering University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (U1UC) 104 S Wright St. Urbana IL 61801 USA Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology UIUC Urbana IL USA;

    Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA) Laboratory Department of Nuclear Plasma and Radiological Engineering Grainger College of Engineering University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (U1UC) 104 S Wright St. Urbana IL 61801 USA Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology UIUC Urbana IL USA;

    Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA) Laboratory Department of Nuclear Plasma and Radiological Engineering Grainger College of Engineering University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (U1UC) 104 S Wright St. Urbana IL 61801 USA Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology UIUC Urbana IL USA;

    Socio-Technical Risk Analysis (SoTeRiA) Laboratory Department of Nuclear Plasma and Radiological Engineering Grainger College of Engineering University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (U1UC) 104 S Wright St. Urbana IL 61801 USA Beckman Institute for Advanced Science and Technology UIUC Urbana IL USA;

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