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Identifying the Ratio of Aircraft Applying SLOP by Statistical Modeling of Lateral Deviation

机译:通过侧向偏差的统计建模确定采用SLOP的飞机比例

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The distribution of lateral deviation is modeled in oceanic airspace where Strategic Lateral Offset Procedun (SLOP) is used. SLOP allows a pilot to select to fly not only on a defined route but also on a path 1 or 2 nautical mile: (NM) on the right of the predefined route, which makes the distribution asymmetrical. Therefore, a new probability density function accounting for the SLOP effect is proposed. The model parameters are estimated based on the maximun likelihood algorithm. Fast convergence is achieved by using Newton's method and a variable neighborhood searcl algorithm. The model fitness is investigated based on the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), frequency distribution and distribution of the core parameter. Finally, an accurate lateral deviation model is obtained, which helps to identify thi ratio of aircraft using the SLOP.
机译:在使用战略性横向偏移程序(SLOP)的海洋空域中,对横向偏差的分布进行了建模。 SLOP使飞行员不仅可以选择在定义的路线上飞行,还可以在预定路线右侧的1或2海里(NM)路径上飞行,这使分布不对称。因此,提出了一种新的考虑SLOP效应的概率密度函数。基于最大似然算法估计模型参数。通过使用牛顿法和可变邻域Searcl算法可以实现快速收敛。基于贝叶斯信息准则(BIC),频率分布和核心参数分布来研究模型适应性。最终,获得了精确的横向偏差模型,该模型有助于使用SLOP识别飞机的比率。

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