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A macro-environment approach to civil aviation strategic planning

机译：民航战略规划的宏观环境方法

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摘要

Air transport is considered a cyclical industry sensitive to the macro-environment in which it operates. As aviation policy makers and regulators strategically plan for their future, they need to consider the systematic and synergistic effects of common factors which comprise the operating environment of the industry's organisations. Thus, during the process of aviation systems planning governments should perceive the generic conditions which exist in the economy as a whole as equally important to air transport exclusive conditions. This paper highlights the significant impact of the national macro-environment factors on a country's air transport sector and it suggests including these elements within the context of civil aviation strategic planning. Country level data is collected on seventeen input variables versus four output variables on a sample of 52 countries. Structural Equation Modelling (SEM) is used to identify the descriptors with significant impact on air transport output, namely: passenger traffic, aviation total contribution to GDP, aviation total contribution to employment and air connectivity levels. The identified significant drivers are found to create an enabling environment that determines the capacity of an economy and society to benefit from the air transport system's productivity. The results call upon aviation policy makers and regulators to assess the national macro-environment forces during the situation analysis part of the strategic planning process. The identified operating environment conditions act as a framework for providing clear policy orientations and for facilitating the identification of areas where policy intervention could improve air transport sector's performance. A well-defined aviation strategy allows aviation policy makers to identify and address nation wide strategic issues and provides aviation industry's stake holders with guidelines to help maintain and enhance their competitive position in both domestic and global markets.
机译：航空运输被视为对航空运营所处的宏观环境敏感的周期性产业。在航空政策制定者和监管者为未来计划战略时，他们需要考虑构成行业组织运营环境的共同因素的系统性和协同效应。因此，在航空系统规划过程中，政府应将整个经济中普遍存在的条件与航空运输专有条件同等重要。本文强调了国家宏观环境因素对一国航空运输部门的重大影响，并建议将这些要素纳入民航战略规划的范围内。在52个国家的样本中，收集了17个输入变量与4个输出变量相关的国家/地区数据。结构方程模型（SEM）用于识别对航空运输输出有重大影响的描述符，即：客运量，航空对GDP的总贡献，航空对就业和航空连接水平的总贡献。发现已确定的重要驱动因素可创造有利的环境，从而决定经济和社会从航空运输系统的生产力中受益的能力。结果呼吁航空政策制定者和监管者在战略规划过程中的形势分析过程中评估国家宏观环境力量。确定的运行环境条件可作为框架，提供明确的政策方向，并有助于确定可以通过政策干预改善航空运输业绩效的领域。制定明确的航空战略可以使航空决策者识别并解决全国性战略问题，并为航空业的利益相关者提供指导方针，以帮助维持和增强其在国内和全球市场上的竞争地位。

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  • 来源
    《Transport policy》 |2014年第5期|125-135|共11页
  • 作者

    Nadine Itani; John F. OConnell; Keith Mason;

  • 作者单位

    Department of Air Transport, Cranfield University, Bedfordshire MK43 0AL, United Kingdom;

    Department of Air Transport, Cranfield University, Bedfordshire MK43 0AL, United Kingdom;

    Department of Air Transport, Cranfield University, Bedfordshire MK43 0AL, United Kingdom;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Macro-environment; Civil aviation; Strategic planning; SEM;

    机译：宏观环境;民航;策略计划;扫描电镜;

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