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The impact of automated transit, pedestrian, and bicycling facilities on urban travel patterns

机译：自动交通，行人和自行车设施对城市出行方式的影响

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摘要

This article reports on an integrated modeling exercise, conducted on behalf of the US Federal Highway Administration, on the potential for frequent automated transit shuttles (community transit'), in conjunction with improvements to the walking and cycling environment, to overcome the last-mile problem of regional rail transit and thereby divert travelers away from car use. A set of interlocking investigations was undertaken, including development of urban visualizations, distribution of a home-based survey supporting a stated-preference model of mode choice, development of an agent-based model, and alignment of the mode-choice and agent-based models. The investigations were designed to produce best-case estimates of the impact of community transit and ancillary improvements in reducing car use. The models in combination suggested significant potential to divert drivers, especially in areas that were relatively transit-poor to begin with.
机译：本文报告了代表美国联邦公路管理局进行的综合建模练习，探讨了频繁使用自动穿梭巴士（社区公交）以及改善步行和骑车环境以克服最后一英里的可能性地区铁路运输的问题，从而使旅行者远离使用汽车。进行了一系列相互关联的调查，包括开发城市可视化，分发基于家庭的调查以支持模式选择的指定偏好模型，开发基于代理的模型以及基于模式选择和基于代理的对齐方式楷模。这些调查旨在对社区交通和辅助性改善措施在减少汽车使用方面的影响做出最佳估计。这些模型的组合显示出转移驾驶员的巨大潜力，尤其是在一开始相对较差的地区。

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