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首页> 外文期刊>Transportation Research Record >Modeling Impact of Emerging Uncertain Time-Dependent Aggregate Activity-Travel Patterns on Individual Activity Participation and Timing Decisions
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Modeling Impact of Emerging Uncertain Time-Dependent Aggregate Activity-Travel Patterns on Individual Activity Participation and Timing Decisions

机译：建模不确定的时效性总体活动-出行方式对个人活动参与和时间决策的影响

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摘要

Existing activity-based models are typically concerned with predicting observed aggregate activity-travel patterns. The interaction and dependencies between individuals have received less attention. Considered here is how one specific schedule choice, namely, the start time of an activity chosen by an agent, aggregates to form an equilibrium distribution, which in turn influences individual decision making. These choices are formalized as the outcomes of a game of incomplete information in which agents have to conjecture the behavior of other agents. The properties of the model are examined by using numerical computer simulations. The results of the simulations support the face validity of the formulated model.
机译：现有的基于活动的模型通常与预测观察到的总体活动-旅行模式有关。个人之间的互动和依存关系受到的关注较少。这里考虑的是一个特定的日程安排选择，即代理人选择的活动的开始时间如何聚合形成平衡分布，进而影响个人决策。这些选择被形式化为不完全信息博弈的结果，在这种情况下，代理人必须推测其他代理人的行为。通过使用数值计算机仿真来检查模型的属性。仿真结果支持所制定模型的面部有效性。

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