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Weather to travel to the beach

机译：天气去海滩

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摘要

Weather conditions have a strong effect on certain leisure destinations choices causing extreme road and parking congestion. An important question is then to what extent travelers react to these forms of congestion by switching to other travel modes. Using information from a national travel survey from 1996 till 2005, we analyze trips from the home to beach destinations in the Netherlands and examine the influence of weather on the probability of making beach trips by car. We take into account that the distance to the beach affects the decision to travel to the beach as well as the decision to travel by car. Our findings suggest that modal choice of beach travelers is sensitive to weather-induced congestion on roads to the beach. Our results imply that, conditional on making a beach trip, car use decreases by about 15% during higher temperatures inducing a 50% increase in train use. Furthermore, the distance elasticity of demand for beach trips is clearly negative and about -0.40, suggesting that the monetary value of visiting a beach during the summer is in the order of €10-20. Appropriate pricing of parking near beaches is suggested as a solution to reduce congestion and cruising for parking externalities.
机译：天气条件对某些休闲目的地的选择有很大影响，从而导致极端的道路和停车拥堵。那么，一个重要的问题是，旅行者通过切换到其他出行方式在多大程度上应对了这些拥堵形式。利用1996年至2005年全国旅行调查中的信息，我们分析了从家庭到荷兰目的地的旅行，并研究了天气对驾车旅行的可能性的影响。我们考虑到到海滩的距离会影响到海滩旅行的决定以及驾车旅行的决定。我们的研究结果表明，海滩旅行者的模式选择对海滩道路上的天气引起的拥堵很敏感。我们的结果表明，在海滩旅行的条件下，较高的温度会导致汽车使用量减少约15％，从而导致火车使用量增加50％。此外，海滩旅行需求的距离弹性显然为负，约为-0.40，这表明夏季访问海滩的货币价值约为10-20欧元。建议在海滩附近停车位适当定价，以减少停车外部性的拥堵和巡航。

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  • 来源
    《Transportation Research》 |2013年第12期|79-86|共8页
  • 作者

    Muhammad Sabir; Jos van Ommeren; Piet Rietveld;

  • 作者单位

    VU University, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105,1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;

    VU University, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105,1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;

    VU University, Department of Spatial Economics, De Boelelaan 1105,1081 HV, Amsterdam, The Netherlands;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Leisure travel; Beach trips; Modal choice; Congestion;

    机译：休闲旅行;海滩旅行;模态选择;拥塞;

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