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Can the development of electric vehicles reduce the emission of air pollutants and greenhouse gases in developing countries?

机译:电动汽车的发展是否可以减少发展中国家的空气污染物和温室气体排放?

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Developing the electric vehicle (EV) industry is generally considered to be an effective way of easing the imbalance between the supply and demand of oil, and, in addition, the pressure to reduce environmental pollution. Developed countries and most developing countries including Brazil, Russia, India, and China (so-called 'ERIC' countries) are actively promoting the development of EVs. By studying different types of widely-used gasoline internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) and EVs, we compare the effect on the environment of utilizing EVs in both developed and "developing countries. This is achieved by using a 'well-to-wheel' method. The results show that compared to gasoline ICEVs, EVs have a significant effect on CO2 emission reduction. HOwever, the correspciriding air pollution due to SO2, PMio, NOR, etc. for a given EV varies substantially in different countries because of the influence of several factors (electrical power structure, lirie loss rate, and so on). As developing countries use larger proportionS of thermal power or present high line loss rates, pollutant emission produced by a certain EV is much higher than that in developed countries. Taking China as a typical developing country as an example, this research dynamically predicts the environmental effects expected in 2020 and 2025 due to a developing EV industry. Predictions are based on a method of Monte Carlo simulation and consider the government's development plan for energy. Finally, according to the results obtained, policies and suggestions for the development of the EV industry in developing countries are proposed. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:发展电动汽车(EV)行业通常被认为是缓解石油供求不平衡以及减轻环境污染压力的有效途径。发达国家和大多数发展中国家,包括巴西,俄罗斯,印度和中国(所谓的“ ERIC”国家)正在积极推动电动汽车的发展。通过研究不同类型的广泛使用的汽油内燃机汽车(ICEV)和电动汽车,我们比较了发达国家和“发展中国家”使用电动汽车对环境的影响。结果表明,与汽油内燃机车相比,电动车对减少二氧化碳排放量有显着影响,但由于不同国家/地区的影响,特定电动车因SO2,PMio,NOR等引起的相应空气污染在不同国家有很大不同在几个因素中(电力结构,列里损失率等),由于发展中国家使用较大比例的火电或目前存在较高的线损率,因此某种电动汽车产生的污染物排放量大大高于发达国家。以中国为典型的发展中国家为例,该研究动态地预测了由于电动汽车产业的发展而在2020年和2025年带来的环境影响。蒙特卡洛模拟法,并考虑政府的能源发展计划。最后,根据获得的结果,提出了发展发展中国家电动汽车产业的政策和建议。 (C)2017 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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