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Trend analysis of activity generation attributes over time

机译:活动生成属性随时间的趋势分析

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Activity generation models are relatively poorly developed in activity-based travel demand modelling frameworks. This research investigates whether observed distributions of activity attributes (activity frequency, start time and duration) used as inputs in the activity generation component of an activity-based travel demand model have changed over time. This research empirically examines changes in the distributions of activity generation attributes over time in the Greater Montreal area (GMA), Quebec, Canada. It also focuses on how these attributes vary with peoples' socio-demographic characteristics. This research relies on the 1998, 2003 and 2008 origin-destination (O-D) household travel surveys of the GMA. The comparative analysis at three time points in a 10-year period clearly reveals that distributions of activity attributes are significantly changing over time. Work and school activities show similar trends; frequency "1" has increased and frequency "2+" has decreased over time. The occurrence of shopping activity on weekdays is decreasing over time. Start time and duration distributions for each activity have also changed significantly over time. The research allows preparing activity attributes for the application of an activity-based model, TASHA, such that they reflect temporal changes in travel behaviour of the GMA.
机译:在基于活动的旅行需求建模框架中,活动生成模型的开发相对较差。这项研究调查了在基于活动的旅行需求模型的活动生成组件中用作输入的活动属性(活动频率,开始时间和持续时间)的观察分布是否随时间变化。这项研究从经验上考察了加拿大魁北克大蒙特利尔地区(GMA)的活动生成属性的分布随时间的变化。它还关注这些属性如何随人们的社会人口特征而变化。这项研究基于GMA的1998年,2003年和2008年原籍目的地(O-D)家庭旅行调查。在十年的三个时间点进行的比较分析清楚地表明,活动属性的分布随时间而显着变化。工作和学校活动显示出类似的趋势;随着时间的流逝,频率“ 1”增加,频率“ 2+”减少。随着时间的流逝,工作日购物活动的发生率正在下降。每个活动的开始时间和持续时间分布也随着时间发生了显着变化。该研究允许为基于活动的模型TASHA的应用准备活动属性,以使其反映GMA行驶行为的时间变化。

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