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Exploring factors affecting injury severity of crashes in freeway tunnels

机译:影响高速公路隧道撞车伤亡严重程度的因素

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Identifying and understanding factors which affect crash injury severity is critical for developing plans to ensure traffic safety in freeway tunnels. Potential factors, such as traffic volume, tunnel environment, geometric design, and weather were considered to predict the likelihood of injury severity. A generalized ordered logit model is developed by using police-reported crash records of selected freeway tunnels in China. The results indicate that five factors are significantly related to injury severity, which include Season, Time of Day, Location of Crash, Tunnel Length, and Adverse Weather. The summer season seems discouraging the probability of sustaining fatal injuries. The likelihood of no injury crashes seems to increase during night-time. Crashes occurred near tunnel entrance/exit tend to be more severe than those occurred inside the tunnels. Tunnel length and weather were also found positively affecting the likelihood of injury severity. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:识别和理解影响碰撞伤害严重性的因素对于制定计划以确保高速公路隧道的交通安全至关重要。考虑诸如交通量,隧道环境,几何设计和天气等潜在因素来预测伤害严重性的可能性。通过使用警方报告的中国部分高速公路隧道的撞车记录,开发了一种通用的有序logit模型。结果表明,五个因素与伤害严重程度显着相关,包括季节,一天中的时间,碰撞位置,隧道长度和不利天气。夏季似乎降低了致命伤害的可能性。夜间无人受伤的可能性似乎增加了。隧道出入口附近发生的碰撞比隧道内部发生的碰撞更严重。还发现隧道的长度和天气对伤害严重性的可能性有积极影响。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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