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The world's changing human capital stock: multi-state population projections by educational attainment

机译:世界上不断变化的人力资本存量:受教育程度的多州人口预测

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摘要

Education is generally assumed to have far-reaching beneficial consequences. At the individual level more education tends to imply better health, wider economic opportunities, and greater autonomy, especially for women (Federici, Mason, and Sogner 1993; Jejeebhoy 1995). At the aggregate level the educational composition of the population has long been considered a key factor in economic, institutional, and social development (Bellew, Raney, and Subbarao 1992; Benavot 1989; Hadden and London 1996) and in the rate of technological progress (Grossman and Helpman 1991; Romer 1992). The extensive theoretical and empirical literature on the relationship between human capital formation and various aspects of development is not reviewed here. Instead, this research note demonstrates the feasibility of multi-state cohort component population projections for groups defined by different educational attainment. With the increasing importance of education in a knowledge-based economy, this approach can make acontribution not only to the field of demography, but also to long-range economic planning.
机译:一般认为教育具有深远的有益影响。在个人一级,更多的教育往往意味着更好的健康,更广泛的经济机会和更大的自主权,尤其是对于妇女而言(Federici,Mason和Sogner,1993; Jejeebhoy,1995)。从总体上讲,长期以来,人口的教育构成一直被认为是经济,制度和社会发展的关键因素(Bellew,Raney和Subbarao 1992; Benavot 1989; Hadden和伦敦1996)。 Grossman和Helpman(1991; Romer,1992)。这里没有回顾有关人力资本形成与发展各个方面之间关系的广泛理论和经验文献。相反,本研究报告证明了针对不同教育程度所定义的群体进行多州同类人群人口预测的可行性。随着教育在基于知识的经济中的重要性日益提高,这种方法不仅可以为人口统计学领域做出贡献,而且可以为长期经济规划做出贡献。

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