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首页> 外文期刊>Portuguese Economic Journal >Possible economic impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation: an application of FUND
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Possible economic impacts of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation: an application of FUND

机译：停止温盐循环可能产生的经济影响：FUND的应用

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摘要

Climate change can lead to a substantial reduction of the strength of the thermohaline circulation in the world oceans. This is often thought to have severe consequences particularly on the North Atlantic region and Northern and Western Europe. The integrated assessment model FUND is used to estimate the extent of these impacts. The results indicate that, owing to a slower warming (rather than cooling) of the regions most affected by a thermohaline circulation collapse, climate change induced damages in these regions would be smaller in case of a shutdown of the thermohaline circulation. However, even with a thermohaline circulation collapse, the total and marginal impacts of climate change are negative.
机译：气候变化可能导致世界海洋中的热盐循环强度大大降低。通常认为这会造成严重后果，特别是在北大西洋地区以及北欧和西欧。综合评估模型FUND用于估计这些影响的程度。结果表明，由于受热盐循环破坏最严重的地区变暖（而非冷却）较慢，因此在热盐循环关闭的情况下，气候变化对这些地区造成的破坏将较小。但是，即使盐卤循环崩溃，气候变化的总影响和边际影响也是负面的。

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