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IMPORTANCE SAMPLING FOR PARAMETRIC ESTIMATION

机译:参数估计的重要抽样

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摘要

We consider a class of parametric estimation problems where the goal is efficient estimation of a quantity of interest for many instances that differ in some model or decision parameters. We have proposed an approach, called Data-Base Monte Carlo (DBMC), that uses variance reduction techniques in a "constructive" way in this setting: Information is gathered through sampling at a set of parameter values and is used to construct effective variance reducing algorithms when estimating at other parameters. We have used DBMC along with the variance reduction techniques of stratification and control variates. In this paper we present results for the application of DBMC in conjunction with importance sampling. We use the optimal sampling measure at a nominal parameter as a sampling measure at neighboring parameters and analyze the variance of the resulting importance-sampling estimator. Experimental results for this implementation are provided.
机译:我们考虑一类参数估计问题,其中目标是对某些模型或决策参数不同的实例进行有效的感兴趣量估计。我们提出了一种称为“蒙特卡洛数据库”(DBMC)的方法,该方法在这种情况下以“建设性”的方式使用方差减少技术:通过对一组参数值进行采样来收集信息,并用于构造有效的方差减少估算其他参数时的算法。我们已经使用DBMC以及分层和控制变量的方差减少技术。在本文中,我们提出了结合重要性抽样的DBMC应用结果。我们使用标称参数处的最佳采样度量作为相邻参数处的采样度量,并分析所得重要性采样估计量的方差。提供了此实现的实验结果。

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