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Agent-Based Model Approach to Complex Phenomenain Real Economy

机译:基于Agent的复杂现象实体经济模型方法

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An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firmagents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agentsare described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize its expected profit withpossible risks in market. Infinite growth of a firm directed by the "profit maximization"principle is suppressed by a concept of "going concern". Possibility of bankruptcy of firmsis also introduced by incorporating a retardation effect of information on firms' decision.The firms, mutually interacting through the monopolistic bank, become heterogeneous inthe course of temporal evolution. Statistical properties of firms' dynamics obtained bysimulations based on the model are discussed in light of observations in the real economy.
机译:建立了基于代理的企业动力学模型。该模型由具有相同特征参数的公司代理和银行代理组成。这些代理商的动态情况由其资产负债表描述。每个公司都试图在市场可能存在风险的情况下最大化其预期利润。 “利益最大化”的概念抑制了以“利润最大化”为原则的企业的无限增长。通过合并信息对公司决策的滞后效应,也引入了公司破产的可能性。通过垄断银行相互影响的公司在时间演化过程中变得异质。结合实体经济中的观察,讨论了通过基于模型的模拟获得的企业动态的统计特性。

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