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首页> 外文期刊>Public health >The days of cheap oil have gone, but the peak oil theory is far too bleak.
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The days of cheap oil have gone, but the peak oil theory is far too bleak.

机译：廉价石油的时代已经过去了，但石油高峰理论却过于黯淡。

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摘要

The peak oil theory, discussed by Hanlon and McCartney,states that peak oil production for a region, country or even the globe will be reached at some specified point in time. A relatively rapid period of terminal decline will then follow. The theory was originally associated with US geologist M. King Hubbert, who predicted in the mid 1950s that US oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970.4 The peak oil theory also implies that if global consumption is not mitigated before the peak, an energy crisis is likely to develop. Falling supply coupled with unmitigated demand will lead to dramatically rising prices which will lead to a crisis. Imminent, apocalyptic scenarios tend to feature strongly in 'peakist' literature.
机译：汉隆（Hanlon）和麦卡特尼（McCartney）讨论的石油峰值理论指出，某个地区，国家甚至全球的石油峰值产量将在某个特定的时间点达到。随后将出现相对较快的终端下降期。该理论最初与美国地质学家M.金·赫伯特（M. King Hubbert）有关，他在1950年代中期预测美国石油产量将在1965年至1970.4之间达到峰值。可能发展。供应下降加上需求未减，将导致价格急剧上涨，这将导致危机。迫在眉睫的世界末日剧情往往在“演讲者”文学中占有重要地位。

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