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Ambiguity aversion with three or more outcomes

机译:具有三个或三个以上结果的歧义厌恶

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Ambiguous choice problems are discussed, involving three or more outcome values, the aspects of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion are revealed which cannot be displayed in the classic two-outcome Ellsberg urn problems (Ref. 1). As a result, such problems are not always captured by models designed to accommodate them. It is discussed that these aspects include Allais-type preferences over purely subjective acts, attitudes toward different sources involving different amounts of ambiguity, and attitudes toward ambiguity at different outcome levels. In this article, three types of problems called as slightly-bent coin problem, thermometer problem and ambiguity at low versus high outcomes problem are considered in which three or more outcomes can happen. The features of standard models' predictions and performance under the circumstance of the three problems considered with three or more outcomes are examined. (82 refs.)
机译:讨论了含三个或更多结果值的歧义选择问题,揭示了歧义和歧义厌恶的方面,这在经典的两结果Ellsberg urn问题中无法显示(参考文献1)。结果,设计为适应这些问题的模型并不总是能够捕获此类问题。讨论这些方面包括对纯主观行为的Allais型偏好,对涉及不同歧义程度的不同来源的态度以及对不同结果水平的歧义态度。在本文中,考虑了三种类型的问题,即轻微弯曲的硬币问题,温度计问题和低结果与高结果问题之间的歧义,其中可能发生三个或更多结果。在考虑三个或三个以上结果的三个问题的情况下,检验标准模型的预测和性能特征。 (82篇)

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