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首页> 外文期刊>The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene >Geographic potential for outbreaks of Marburg hemorrhagic fever.
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Geographic potential for outbreaks of Marburg hemorrhagic fever.

机译：马尔堡出血热暴发的地理潜力。

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摘要

Marburg virus represents one of the least well-known of the hemorrhagic fever-causing viruses worldwide; in particular, its geographic potential in Africa remains quite mysterious. Ecologic niche modeling was used to explore the geographic and ecologic potential of Marburg virus in Africa. Model results permitted a reinterpretation of the geographic point of infection in the initiation of the 1975 cases in Zimbabwe, and also anticipated the potential for cases in Angola, where a large outbreak recently (2004-2005) occurred. The geographic potential for additional outbreaks is outlined, including in several countries in which the virus is not known. Overall, results demonstrate that ecologic niche modeling can be a powerful tool in understanding geographic distributions of species and other biologic phenomena such as zoonotic disease transmission from natural reservoir populations.
机译：马尔堡病毒是全世界引起出血热的最鲜为人知的病毒之一。特别是，其在非洲的地理潜力仍然十分神秘。生态位生态模型被用来探索非洲马尔堡病毒的地理和生态潜力。模型结果允许重新解释1975年津巴布韦病例开始时的感染地理位置，并且还预测了近期（2004-2005年）爆发大流行的安哥拉病例的可能性。概述了其他疾病暴发的地域潜力，包括在不知道该病毒的几个国家。总体而言，结果表明，生态位建模可以成为了解物种地理分布和其他生物现象（例如从天然水库种群传播人畜共患疾病）的有力工具。

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