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Is it possible to predict suicide?

机译:有可能预测自杀吗?

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摘要

Suicide remains a major public health concern. Suicide and suicidal behaviours are statistically infrequent, even in populations at risk [1-3]. The central problem confronting clinicians working in suicide prevention is that while the total number of suicides in a population is pretty large, the risk of suicide to any given individual, even those with multiple risk factors, is pretty small. Medical professionals deal with almost no other event as rare as suicide. Although suicidal ideation and attempts are associated with increased suicide risk, most individuals with suicidal thoughts or attempts will not die by suicide. Suicide attempts and ideation occur in approximately 0.7% and 5.6%, respectively, of the general US population [4]. In comparison, in the USA the annual incidence of suicide in the general population is approximately 11 suicides for every 100,000 persons, or 0.011% of the total population per year [5].
机译:自杀仍然是主要的公共卫生问题。统计上,即使在处于危险中的人群中,自杀和自杀行为也是很少见的[1-3]。从事预防自杀工作的临床医生面临的中心问题是,尽管人口自杀总数很大,但是任何给定个体(甚至是具有多种危险因素的个体)自杀的风险都很小。医疗专业人员几乎没有像自杀这样罕见的事件。尽管自杀念头和企图会增加自杀风险,但大多数具有自杀念头或企图的人不会因自杀而死亡。美国总人口中约有0.7%和5.6%的人企图自杀和自杀[4]。相比之下,在美国,一般人群的自杀年发生率约为每10万人中有11人自杀,或每年自杀总数的0.011%[5]。

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