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Basis Challenges In 2005

机译:2005年的基础挑战

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摘要

Farmers face a lot of risk every year. Corn, soybean and cotton growers face production risk, weather risk and price risk.Farmers have been able to reduce production risk with improved seed technology and better tillage practices. You can reduce the financial risk of bad weather by purchasing the right type of crop insurance.The price risk component can be further broken down into futures risk and basis risk. If you look at the history of managing risk, nine years out of 10, using new-crop hedges or hedge-to-arrive (HTA) contracts is the right merchandising decision. By using futures hedges you reduce risk and also have a lot of flexibility. You can wait for your local basis to improve, roll the hedge ahead if you have storage and shop around for the best basis bid before you deliver. This year was the one year in 10 that the wide basis levels this fall meant that a cash forward contract worked better than hedging.
机译:农民每年面临很多风险。玉米,大豆和棉花种植者面临生产风险,天气风险和价格风险。农民已经能够通过改进种子技术和更好的耕作方式降低生产风险。您可以通过购买正确类型的作物保险来降低恶劣天气的财务风险。价格风险成分可以进一步细分为期货风险和基础风险。如果您回顾一下风险管理的历史,那么使用新作对冲或对冲(HTA)合同(十分之九)就是正确的销售决策。通过使用期货套期保值,您可以降低风险,并且还具有很大的灵活性。您可以等待当地情况的好转,如果有足够的存储空间,可以提前套期保值,并在交付之前货比三家以获得最佳的基础价格。今年是十分之一的一年,今年秋天基础广泛,这意味着现金远期合约比对冲更好。

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