• 主题
高级搜索  >
历史搜索 清空历史
首页> 外文期刊>The International journal of drug policy >Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow! Estimating cocaine production using a novel dataset based on reported seizures of laboratories in Colombia
【24h】

Let it snow! Let it snow! Let it snow! Estimating cocaine production using a novel dataset based on reported seizures of laboratories in Colombia

机译：让它下雪吧！让它下雪吧！让它下雪吧！使用新的数据集估算可卡因产量，该数据集基于哥伦比亚缉获的实验室数据

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           
页面导航
  • 摘要
  • 著录项
  • 相似文献
  • 相关主题

摘要

Background: Data on the cocaine market appear inconsistent, as they tend to show declining prices vis-a-vis steady or increasing demand and a declining supply. This paper proposes an explanation for this trend by providing evidence of an under-estimation of the supply of cocaine. Methods: We propose a conservative estimate of cocaine production in Colombia for 2008, using data based on all reported seizures from 328 laboratories made by the counteracting organisations operating within the Colombian territory. Results: Our conservative estimate of 935 tons from the seized laboratories is at least twice the estimate declared in official statistics of 295-450 tons. We are careful to keep all variables to their minimum boundary values. Our methodology could prove to be a useful tool, especially if used in parallel with the standard tools. Moreover, its characteristics (affordability, ease of use and potential for worldwide adoption) make it a powerful instrument to counteract cocaine production.
机译：背景：可卡因市场上的数据似乎不一致，因为它们趋向于显示价格相对于稳定或需求增加或供应减少而下降。本文通过提供可卡因供应被低估的证据，对这一趋势提出了一种解释。方法：我们使用在哥伦比亚境内开展活动的反扑组织从328个实验室缉获的所有报告缉获量为基础的数据，对2008年哥伦比亚的可卡因产量进行保守估计。结果：我们对查获实验室的935吨的保守估计至少是官方统计数字295-450吨宣布的估计的两倍。我们小心地将所有变量保持在其最小边界值。我们的方法论可能被证明是有用的工具，尤其是与标准工具并行使用时。此外，其特点（负担能力，易用性和在全球范围内推广的潜力）使其成为抵消可卡因生产的有力手段。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱：kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备：11010802029741号 ICP备案号：京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有

  • 客服微信

  • 服务号